Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 330.827354 375.444625 425.238367 485.181875 555.719545 636.491959 736.563374
2025-07-13 273.597019 334.082104 407.962671 505.922537 634.021504 798.126401 1028.024216
2025-07-20 244.733687 313.526794 402.753168 529.145629 707.193660 954.728123 1335.322018
2025-07-27 217.909350 289.612291 387.034464 532.437633 749.962287 1073.588465 1612.335031
2025-08-03 192.586365 263.489720 363.453426 519.092130 763.758932 1149.127788 1836.215618
2025-08-10 173.331782 243.177917 344.877133 509.248671 779.403673 1227.697253 2079.964597
2025-08-17 163.659711 235.450531 343.430344 524.738094 836.786639 1383.861783 2498.489357
2025-08-24 151.377375 222.328277 331.950928 521.994001 862.140927 1487.487946 2841.965538
2025-08-31 139.594487 208.744518 318.126506 513.186927 874.769687 1568.841046 3159.882177
2025-09-07 131.411195 200.049836 311.200786 515.141888 906.943298 1693.352482 3607.204529
2025-09-14 121.903459 188.339032 298.040993 504.188304 912.410945 1763.818112 3947.309056
2025-09-21 115.186662 180.672851 290.995533 503.502762 937.877238 1881.426120 4442.077380
2025-09-28 105.447577 167.353631 273.289511 481.358396 917.507052 1896.384894 4678.721451
2025-10-05 103.010070 166.406618 277.490915 502.247941 992.023570 2148.848570 5688.708865
2025-10-12 100.988156 165.967871 282.484128 525.229363 1075.086274 2442.863162 6962.082301
2025-10-19 96.554757 160.834308 278.209290 528.495241 1113.356195 2631.034799 7977.708632
2025-10-26 90.523962 152.342260 266.800506 515.269142 1110.074787 2705.673797 8623.102187
2025-11-02 85.421077 145.217346 257.464467 505.513614 1113.895970 2801.889846 9403.208055
2025-11-09 83.479974 143.869911 259.362601 520.864556 1184.032567 3112.685030 11248.021567
2025-11-16 79.786767 138.922900 253.616265 518.145060 1206.387576 3282.482429 12582.425309
2025-11-23 75.781092 133.114212 245.661132 509.416743 1211.139566 3397.228230 13733.476580
2025-11-30 73.081272 129.681573 242.353145 511.354247 1246.027078 3624.001369 15627.388769
2025-12-07 69.409084 124.102573 234.123473 500.498290 1242.600817 3716.136173 16857.000191